How to Capitalize on Market Opportunities (And Make a Sh*t Ton of Money)
"Opportunity seldom knocks twice."
Opportunities are black swan events.
Opportunities are rare moments suspended in time. Sometimes they turn into nothing — other times they compound like snowflakes that shape-shift into terrifying avalanches.
Do you ignore them all?
The best opportunities never seem obvious to us.
But for some reason it revealed itself to you;. it glows gently and leaves quick if you’re too slow to seize it.
Why didn’t you?
Ready to win?
Markets have always fascinated me. Opportunities are constantly falling in our laps — whether it be a meme token airdrop that you completely paper-handed or a seemingly minuscule job offer you faded that scaled its way into an empire.
It’s not easy. We are not psychic and luck will always play a part in our destiny.
But if you want to win… At some point, you’ll need to break down and understand how the same players continue to win every game.
Of course the game is rigged. The question is: what are you gonna do about it?
Reading Charts
Chart reading is a crucial skill that you can't afford to ignore.
Through chart reading, you can make quick decisions (and profits) through swing trades using buy and sell signals. For example, in the picture above, I bought multiple Dandies around 6 Solana and sold them in heavy profit at 8, 9 and 10 Solana.
I did not have whitelist and I have done this many times with multiple collections.
Swing trading is not easy, especially when it comes to NFTs and crypto. To swing trade, you must understand:
Volume - The sum of the asset being bought / sold on the market.
Listings - The amount of NFTs listed on the market.
Chart patterns - Read below.
Technical Analysis is a tool, not a meme.
Use solsniperxyz once daily for 10 mins. Analyze the correlation(s) between listing and price action. Eventually, it will click.
As for charts, read more about basic chart patterns here.
Expected Value (EV)
Nothing in this life is guaranteed, but there is a way to turn probabilities into certain outcomes by utilizing expected value.
EV is “an anticipated average value for an investment at some point in the future.”
I like Technical Analysis as much as the next guy, but with EV, you can predict the future… and that’s all we need.
EV = Probability * Value of each outcome.
Let’s put this into practice using a simple coin toss. (I’m going to reference an extremely helpful article that I used to better understand the concept of Expected Value by BloodGoodBTC).
If the coin lands on tails, you win $100. If it comes up heads, you win nothing.
There are only two possible outcomes here, with a 50% probability of each. Simple enough.
BloodGoodBTC:
“EV of coin toss = $100 * 50% + $0 * 50% = $50
So the EV is 50$, meaning that you should be willing to pay anything less than $50 for a single coin toss. If someone offers you that coin toss for $40, that’s a deal you should take, since you’ll make an average of $10 on it (which is 25% of your initial investment).”
So, how does this apply to crypto? Let’s take a look.
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